I'm living in a time where the institutions I serve are declining. Post-pandemic economies are decreasing, and budget shortages have forced many lecturers to accept severances. It has me reflecting on the story of St. Kilda, our island to the West.
There is a core capacity needed to sustain any community. St. Kilda, which is in the middle of the Atlantic, survived with average populations just over 100 because there were enough community members to farm, shear and weave wool for clothes, gather birds' eggs and meat, and repair and build housing and shelter when needed. There were enough people to protect the survival of the isle. Yet, within a generation, from the mid-1800s to 1930, disease brought by visitors and youth emigrating to the mainland brought a shortage in the population to a critical low. There were no longer the numbers to store the food, clothes and housing needed to sustain the people. At 36 residents, the island was abandoned to the National Trust.
What is the vital number needed for a university to survive? At which point will dwindling lecturers herald the end to higher education and research? A few have suggested that any sustainable research project or group needs a skeleton team of four (see below); but what of a school? Is it 4? 36? more?
In ancestral language research, Joshua Fishman posited that a language has reached endangered status when it is disrupted, and no longer being transferred through to the next generation. Certainly that happened in St. Kilda, skills and work and culture were lost within a person's life. These are the lessons our cultural history has taught us: there is a point of no return. Who is your heart? What number supplies that heart? Will you know when that capacity is at risk?